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Robert Müürsepp, the National Accounts Service Manager at Statistics Estonia, said that the flash estimate indicates a slight improvement in the economy compared with the fourth quarter of 2024, while the trend was unchanged compared with the third quarter of 2025. “The seasonally and working-day adjusted GDP remained at the same level as in the third quarter,” added Müürsepp. What is the flash estimate of GDP? The official data on GDP for the fourth quarter of 2025 will be published on 2 March, but it is possible to assess the overall economic trend based on the information already available

Lauri Veski, team lead of consumer price statistics at Statistics Estonia, said that the exchange prices of electricity had the biggest influence on the harmonised index of consumer prices compared with the previous month as well as with February last year. “Compared with February 2024, prices have increased across almost all categories of goods and services. Clothing and footwear are the only exception, as their prices were down by 1.6% year on year,” said Veski. The consumer price index uses weights reflecting the average expenditure structure of Estonian residents, while the harmonised

“Compared with the first quarter of 2025, the seasonally and working-day adjusted GDP was up by 0.5%,” stated Robert Müürsepp, team lead of national accounts at Statistics Estonia. According to Müürsepp, it is too early to say how the consumer price index adjustment will affect GDP calculations. “It is highly unlikely that it will have a significant impact,” he said. What is a flash estimate of GDP? Although the official GDP figure will be released on 29 August, the information currently available can be used to assess the overall economic situation. This includes trade indicators, transport

Jelena Jurkova, analyst in the producer price statistics team at Statistics Estonia, said that, year on year, the producer price index of industrial output fell for the third consecutive month. “Compared with August 2024, the index was most affected by price decreases in electricity production and in the manufacture of fuel oils. Higher prices in the manufacture of wood and wood products and in the manufacture of food products had the opposite effect on the index,” Jurkova noted. Producer prices decreased by 0.1% in manufacturing as a whole, whereas the rise in the manufacture of food products

In the third quarter, the total production value of Estonian construction enterprises was €1.1 billion, including €684 million worth of building construction and €455 million worth of civil engineering. Compared with the third quarter of last year, the volume of building construction was down by 1.9%, whereas the volume of civil engineering works (roads, bridges, port facilities, pipelines, communication and electricity lines, sports fields, etc.) was up by 1.6%. Merike Sinisaar, leading analyst at Statistics Estonia, pointed out that after the growth in the first quarter, construction volumes

Helle Bunder, leading analyst at Statistics Estonia, said that manufacturing production in October decreased for the second month in a row. “Although the volume of industrial production was up in half of the manufacturing activities in October, the overall volume of the sector declined, mainly due to a decrease in the production of computers and electronic products (3.1%), food products (1.9%), and electrical equipment (6.8%). A slight drop was also seen in the manufacture of wood, at 0.8%,” Bunder added. “The decline in the production of computers and electronic products is primarily due to

According to Statistics Estonia and Eesti Pank, in the fourth quarter of 2022, Estonia’s exports of services grew by 12% and imports by 25% at current prices compared with the fourth quarter in 2021. Services were sold to non-residents for a total of 3 billion and purchased for 2.2 billion euros. The balance of foreign trade in services was therefore in surplus by 765 million euros in the fourth quarter, which is 125 million euros less than in the same period a year earlier. In 2022 as a whole, exports of services grew by 31% and imports by 19%.