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Robert Müürsepp, the national accounts team lead at Statistics Estonia, said that the GDP, which had shown growth in the fourth quarter last year, was again down a little in the first quarter this year. “A month ago, we published a model-based flash estimate which suggested that the economy might be slightly improving. However, the flash estimate underestimated some irregular factors in the fourth quarter. Vehicle sales were exceptionally high in the fourth quarter in anticipation of the introduction of the motor vehicle tax from 2025. But the model could not fully foresee the significant

Robert Müürsepp, team lead of national accounts at Statistics Estonia, noted that initial signs indicate a slight improvement in the economy compared with both a year ago and the previous quarter. “The seasonally and working-day adjusted GDP was up by 0.2% from the second quarter of 2025,” Müürsepp added. What is a flash estimate of GDP? The official data on GDP for the third quarter will be published on 1 December, but based on the information already available, it is possible to assess the overall economic trend. This is done using, for example, trade indicators, transport and manufacturing

In September, the confidence indicator was still the highest in retail trade (+21.1, up from +15.7 in August). Compared with August, there was a significant deterioration in enterprises’ assessment of their sales in the last three months, although enterprises were more optimistic about expected sales in the next three months. There was also a slight improvement in assessments of the volume of stock. In the services sector, the confidence indicator was +1.2 in September (+7.4 in August), and enterprises had a more negative view of expected demand in the next three months. Confidence also

The consumer price index uses weights reflecting the average expenditure structure of Estonian residents, while the harmonised index of consumer prices also takes into account the expenditures of tourists and is comparable to the international HICP. “According to the initial estimate, the index was mainly influenced by the decrease in the prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages as well as clothing and footwear – both month on month and year on year,” said Lauri Veski, the Consumer Price Statistics Service Manager at Statistics Estonia. The consumer price index data for June will be

The construction price index expresses the change in construction expenditures at the level of direct costs on the construction site, which are divided into three basic groups: labour force, building machines, and building materials. The calculation of the construction price index covers four groups of buildings: detached houses, blocks of flats, industrial buildings, and office buildings. The repair and reconstruction work price index covers office buildings. Ülo Paulus, leading analyst at Statistics Estonia, pointed out that, both year on year and compared with the previous quarter, the rise

Tiina Pärson, leading analyst at Statistics Estonia, said that internet use is a common practice among younger and middle-aged people (16–54-year-olds), with almost 100% of them using the internet. Internet use has increased significantly among the elderly. For example, compared with last year, internet use has risen by five percentage points in the 55–64 age group and by six percentage points among 65–74-year-olds. Compared with 2020, the increase has been even greater, at 11 percentage points among people aged 55–64 and 20 percentage points among people aged 65–74. “One key factor is the

Lauri Veski, team lead of consumer price statistics at Statistics Estonia, said that the consumer price index in May was almost unchanged compared with April but rose by 4.5% year on year. “Compared with May 2024, the index was affected the most by the 7.1% higher prices of food products. In transport, prices increased by 6.2%, mainly due to the motor vehicle tax introduced in January and price changes in passenger transport. New price lists for health services are in force from April, including an increased appointment fee for specialist medical care, which also affected the index year on

The consumer price index uses weights reflecting the average expenditure structure of Estonian residents, while the harmonised index of consumer prices also takes into account the expenditures of tourists and is comparable to the international HICP. “According to the initial estimate, the increase in the index in April was mainly due to the high prices of diesel fuel and petrol, which have risen due to the armed conflicts in the Middle East,” said Lauri Veski, the Consumer Price Statistics Service Manager at Statistics Estonia. The consumer price index data for April will be published by

The construction price index expresses the change in construction expenditures taking into consideration the price changes of three basic inputs: labour force, building machines, and building materials. The calculation of the construction price index covers four groups of buildings: detached houses, blocks of flats, industrial buildings, and office buildings. The repair and reconstruction work price index covers office buildings. Ülo Paulus, leading analyst at Statistics Estonia, said that the increase in the construction price index in the first quarter, compared with the previous quarter

The consumer price index uses weights reflecting the average expenditure structure of Estonian residents, while the harmonised index of consumer prices also takes into account the expenditures of tourists and is comparable to the international HICP. “We have not yet received all the data, but we can say that the index for March was influenced the most by the decreased prices of electricity and food products and by the increase in fuel prices,” said Lauri Veski, the Consumer Price Statistics Service Manager at Statistics Estonia. The consumer price index data for March will be published by